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Inaccurate Weather Reports
April 6, 2018
12:41 am
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Marge Swartz
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I live in Alaska and for at least 10 years I have noticed the weather in my area is nearly always reported as being different then it actually is by around 5 degrees, sometimes more. On New Years eve 2016 I was checking the outside temp before I took my grandkids outside to watch the neighborhood fireworks. It was about 11:45 PM when I checked and they had recorded the temperature for my area as being 72 degrees. It was closer to 10. I don't think they expected anyone to be checking the weather right about then. Anyway this morning I checked this weeks forecast and instead of running the numbers up they were much lower. They said it was -2 and predicted a high of 4 with tonights low being -7 which is way colder then normal for this time of year. In reality it was in the mid to upper 20's about then, a few hours later it when I got the picture of my thermometer it was 37 and now at 11:30 pm it is 30. It won't get down to -7 tonight. This time I got a screen shot of the forecast and a couple hours later I took a picture of my home thermometer so I have proof but I'm not smart enough to know how to get the pictures from my computer onto here. If someone will tell me how I will do that. Anyway does anyone have any ideas why they so consistently get it so wrong. 

April 6, 2018
5:00 pm
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greeney2
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Possible the weather up in Alaska is a lot more difficult to predict accurately, Down here in the lower 48 our weather is usually based on what comes out of the far northern areas in the arctic. Watching some of the reality shows about Alaska, weather is pretty unpredictable and changes pretty quickly up there. Its usually much more predictable down this way as they know how the patterns develop into the west coast from Alaska, and how it affects across the USA.  Just my guess and 2 cents worth. I have to say weather predictions for Southern California are pretty darn accurate, especially this year. Epic fires have caused winter and rain problems of flooding and mudslides, and they pinpoint pretty accurately where heavy rains will hit our mountains, and where severe flash floods are likely to happen. Even down to the hours it will come and go.  Did you use to live in the lower 48 before going to Alaska?  

You have my curiosity going as to who you use to be on the board in the past?  Chances are we had some great debates if you remembered my ID. Kiss

April 7, 2018
8:40 pm
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Marge Swartz
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No, we never had any debates. I remember you because you were always nice. I always thought John was a really nice person too. I remember he talked one time about how they always had all these animals when he was growing up because his mom liked them. I figure she is probably a good person too. I don't remember any of my log in info or I'd tell you what it was. I was born in Arizona, raised in Oregon and went to Idaho in the late 80's before moving up here about 10 years later. I don't think the weather up here should be any more difficult to predict then anywhere. They show us the clouds moving in, usually from the ocean between here and China. Sometimes they come in from the west and hit on the coast by Barrow. Mostly it comes up from China. That's why the caribou and Inuit have so many chemicals in them. The polluted rain from China falls on the moss on the tundra, the moss sucks up all the pollutants, caribou eat the moss and Inuits eat the caribou. They have tested the blood of new born caribou and humans and they are filled with chemicals. The ones they found that angered me most were the 'vanity chemicals' from stuff like finger nail polish and remover, make up and hair dye. Stuff that really isn't necessary. Anyway back to the weather. Even if they can't predict it you would think they ought to be able to record the current temperatures more accurately. They were off by 22 degrees the other day and there is no way that at 11:45pm on New Years that it was 72 degrees anywhere in Alaska. I've been watching it for 10+ years and very rarely is it not recorded at higher temps then it really is, at least in my rural area. I was really surprised to see them say it was colder the other day. My personal theory is that since Global Warming hasn't turned out the way they said they are getting ready to switch to Global Cooling and are fabricating the numbers so later they can use it as evidence. Unfortunately for me I have had the misfortune of being right in areas when they were swarmed with angry, lying profiteers disguised as environmentalists so many times that I have gotten very suspicious and these false temperature readings really set off alarms for me. It's not that I don't care about the earth because I do, that's why I have spent most of my life in the middle of nowhere. But I don't like it when they lie about the environment and destroy people's lives just so they can make more profits. I saw about the fires and floods in California. There is a guy on youtube called Grendal (?) who made some really interesting videos about that and about the rules one city enacted 2 days before the fire that made it hard to impossible for the people to rebuild. I thought there was really weird stuff about those fires. My heart goes out to the people and animals who affected. So I better stop now. I'm old- I ramble Laugh

   

April 8, 2018
9:06 am
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greeney2
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Thank you for the kind words Marge, back it the old days of real heated debates on the board, a lot of people disagreed with me, when they figured out I was John's Dad, I never heard the end of it. Nice to know some people like you saw I wasn't such a bad guy. Laugh Yes, at one time when the kids were growing up we did have a lot of animals. We live in a area of Los Angeles that was known for rural living, our zoning allows us to have horses, chickens, just about everything except pigs and hogs. The corrals are empty, our horses lived their lives out here, now where there were many fields of horse trails in the San Fernando Valley, it is now built up. Johns mom still loves animals, we all do, but now its just us and the cats. Laugh

That is very interesting how China has had such an impact on Alaska. How such pollution has affected wildlife and the people. China is not our friend, nor a friend to the earth, Trumps tariffs on them in the long run we should have done a long time ago. I'm sure I'm wrong about the weather predictions, it was just a thought. You live right up where you can see obvious effects of all this global warming, most of us in the lower 48 do not really get to see. For California, we have been in a period of drought for years, so when fires come, bush is dry, alone with wind conditions, we had some devastating fires. That sets up the conditions of flash flooding when heavy rains come, no vegetation on the hills, Santa Barbara went right thru a very exclusive and high priced neighborhoods, so flash floods are not just limited to out in the desert.

Good to have you back and posting.  look forward to more.     

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